英国央行加息预期升温,英国国债收益率飙升

格隆汇
Jul 23

英国国债收益率今日大幅上涨。10年期英国国债收益率盘中攀升超过4个基点,达到5.08%,创两个多月以来新高,6月底的收益率仅为4.72%。Investinglive分析师Justin Low表示,此次上涨的原因是能源价格上涨推高了通胀预期,这也意味着英国央行的政策前景将更加鹰派。目前,市场预计英国央行将在年底前加息约48个基点,显著高于一个月前的约20个基点,甚至上周的约36个基点。影响全球债券市场和主要央行预期的另一个显而易见的因素是美伊关系再度紧张。但就英国而言,财政担忧正再次浮现。债券市场“义警”似乎又将卷土重来,尤其是在伯纳姆政府首次政策声明一团糟之后。因此,英国国债市场面临多重压力。推高收益率的并非通胀担忧,而是投资者在财政担忧的背景下,要求更高的收益率溢价才能持有英国国债。

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