【券商聚焦】信达证券:贵金属涨势突出,美联储料维持利率不变

金吾财讯
Jul 22

金吾财讯 | 信达证券发布研报指,前一交易日环球期货市场表现分化,贵金属板块涨势突出,而部分农产品及能源品种承压。详细来看,市场当时对即将公布的欧洲央行利率决议及美联储后续政策动向保持关注。

宏观数据方面,信达证券罗列了本周(7月23日至29日)重点经济事件及预期。市场普遍预测欧洲央行存款便利利率将维持2.4%不变,而日本6月核心消费者物价指数年率预期为1.9%,略高于前值1.8%。美国方面,初请失业金人数预期为208K,较前值211K有所改善;6月核心耐用品订单月率预期为1.3%,低于前值1.4%;7月消费者信心指数预期为124,较前值125.6轻微回落;最受关注的美联储利率决议预期将维持利率在3.75%不变。这些预期数据显示,市场当时倾向于认为主要央行将暂时按兵不动,但对通胀及劳动力市场的边际变化保持警惕。

从具体资产类别看,贵金属板块表现最为吸睛,呈现显著避险或抗通胀配置需求。黄金期货价格录得4076.4美元,单日上涨60.5美元,变动幅度达1.51%;白银期货涨势更为凌厉,收报59.108美元,涨幅高达3.57%。基本金属同样普遍走强,伦敦铜价上涨1.93%至13885美元,伦敦铝和锌分别上涨0.57%及0.91%。

能源市场走势偏软,原油期货价格下跌3.5美元,跌幅0.31%,报84.34美元;天然气期货则小幅收高0.18%。农产品价格涨跌互现,玉米和小麦主力合约分别录得0.50%及0.56%的涨幅,而大豆期货价格微跌0.31%。

股指期货跟随风险偏好小幅上行,小型道指期货收报52443点,涨0.71%;小型标普500指数期货报7545.75点,涨0.82%。汇市方面,日元兑美元走弱0.42%,澳元与人民币汇率变动相对平稳。

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