有媒体援引三位知情人士透露，日本央行下周可能维持对通胀率超过2%目标的警告，但同时暗示这些风险与三个月前相比并未显著增加。预计该行将在下周的政策会议上发布的季度展望报告中，重点关注中东冲突带来的持续通胀风险、强劲的全球人工智能需求以及日元疲软导致的进口成本上升。 日本央行认为，最坏情景——即严重的供应中断引发价格飙升并迫使央行迅速加息——发生的可能性已经较三个月前下降。另外，其6月加息时“存在潜在消费者通胀偏离2%目标并向上超出的风险”的这一表述预计也将再次出现。 消息人士称，随着油价引发的短期通胀冲击风险有所缓解，决策者们现在正将注意力转向企业在多大程度上继续将不断上涨的成本转嫁给家庭。这种转变表明，日本央行正在超越中东冲突的直接影响，将目光投向更广泛的通胀因素，包括人工智能相关的需求和日元疲软，并据此评估下一次加息的时机。
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