ETF异动 | 南方两倍做空日经(07515)现涨超4% 日元刷新近40年新低 油价变化仍为日股关键变量

智通财经
Jul 24

智通财经APP获悉,南方两倍做空日经(07515)现涨超4%,截至发稿,涨4.02%,报14.24港元,成交额642.31万港元。

消息面上,近日,中东局势升级再度推高国际油价。由于日本高度依赖能源进口,市场预期油价上涨将扩大日本贸易逆差,日元对美元汇率跌穿163关口,创1986年12月以来新低。分析指出,日元贬值、能源涨价与企业成本转嫁导致通胀预期进一步升温,市场预期日本央行会在12月之前再次加息。

据中新经纬报道,前海开源基金首席经济学家杨德龙认为,油价变化仍是影响日股的关键变量。若油价持续高位运行,日本AI和半导体板块可能面临成本端承压、估值端收缩的双重压力,电力、物流及原材料成本上涨,也可能侵蚀部分企业利润。不过,全球AI需求增长以及弱日元带来的出口收益,可能形成一定对冲。

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