【券商聚焦】中邮证券首予轩竹生物(02575)买入评级 指商业化前景获看好

金吾财讯
Jul 28

金吾财讯 | 中邮证券发布研报指,轩竹生物-B(02575)新一代PPI抑制剂安奈拉唑钠肠溶片用于成人反流性食管炎(RE)的NDA申请已获NMPA受理,该适应症国内患者基数约4000万,临床需求庞大。安奈拉唑钠具有非酶加多酶代谢、均衡肠肾双通道排泄的特点,尤其适用多重用药及肾功能不全患者。其首发适应症已纳入医保,目前覆盖近3000家医疗终端,较前代PPI抑制剂具备临床优势,较P-CAB类具备价格和安全性优势,商业化前景获看好。

其他商业化产品方面,CDK2/4/6抑制剂吡洛西利已成为国内唯一全线覆盖HR+/Her2-晚期乳腺癌的药物,且为唯一获批后线单药的CDK4/6类抑制剂,正处快速上量阶段。新型ALK抑制剂地罗阿克相较于三代ALK抑制剂,具备颅内疗效更佳、对多个耐药位点活性优异及安全性优势。

研发管线上,公司大小分子平台持续输出。自研新一代PARP1抑制剂具高选择性、低血液毒性及穿透脑部病灶能力,预计26Q4确定RP2D并读出I期数据。小分子早研还布局了ITK抑制剂和PI3Kα突变抑制剂,大分子早研则布局CD3/ENPP3双抗和IL-4R/KLK5/7双抗。

盈利预测方面,中邮证券预计公司2026/27/28年收入分别为1.8亿/4.0亿/6.5亿元人民币,同比增速分别达248%/122%/63%;预计公司仍处商业化爬坡期,同期归母净利润分别为-2.0亿/-0.8亿/0.6亿元人民币。基于公司商业化产品逐渐放量、在研管线丰富,首次覆盖,给予“买入”评级。

风险提示包括产品销售、新药临床进度及数据不及预期。

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