丹斯克银行:缺乏新预测之际,市场关注美联储会议上的投票分歧

格隆汇
Yesterday

丹斯克银行高级分析师Joel Rossier在一份报告中表示,在美联储主席沃什预计不会在周三会议上公布新的经济预测或前瞻指引的情况下,市场关注重点将转向政策委员会内部的投票分歧。他表示:“我们认为,最可能出现的结果是有2至4名委员支持加息,但这不足以促成加息。”丹斯克银行预计,美联储将在12月和明年3月分别加息25个基点,但风险偏向于更早开始加息。尽管货币市场目前已经计入约8个基点的加息预期,这意味着有大约31.5%的紧缩概率,但市场仍预计美联储将在本周会议上维持利率不变。

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