马斯克:10 年内 AI 与人的智能差距就像人与黑猩猩

链捕手
Yesterday

ChainCatcher 消息,据 Business Insider 报道,马斯克重申并细化时间表:约 5 年内,AI 整体智能可能超过人类智能总和;约 10 年内,人类很可能不再主导(类比智能差距远超黑猩猩与人类)。他表示,除“作为人类”本身外,AI 几乎在所有方面都能做得更好。

马斯克认为,AI 发展最可能结果是“惊人丰裕时代”,即机器人+AI 能生产远超人类消费能力的商品与服务,任何人都能拥有想要的东西。到 2036 年左右,“金钱可能不再重要”。

他认为政府可直接向民众发放支票(类似普遍高收入),因产出激增,更可能出现通缩而非通胀;传统税收/再分配逻辑在新范式下可能失效。他接受 AI 存在约 10–20% 灭绝人类风险,但认为发展势头不可阻挡,已达“哲学结论”:无法阻止就加入并“享受旅程”。

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