高盛分析师在一份报告中指出预计美联储将在本周的会议上维持联邦基金利率不变而该决策的影响将在很大程度上取决于美联储主席沃什如何阐述这一决定及未来的政策路径。分析师表示如果美联储决定按兵不动却未能就经济前景或政策反应机制提供充分指引那么目前相对稳定的长期美国国债收益率曲线以及处于受控状态的通胀风险溢价可能会因此面临波动风险。目前货币市场定价显示美联储本周加息的概率为31.5%不过市场主流预期仍是利率保持不变。
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