【摩根大通:韩国股市杠杆ETF平仓潮已近尾声】当地时间7月29日,摩根大通发布最新研报指出,自今年6月中旬以来韩国股市经历的大规模去杠杆化进程已接近尾声。报告认为,目前杠杆ETF的平仓操作已基本完成,对冲基金的去杠杆进程也已完成约90%,整体杠杆水平正回落至更合理的区间。摩根大通策略师米克索·达斯等人在报告中表示,随着市场回调,杠杆ETF的资金规模已从此前的峰值降至170亿美元,此前大量资金快速涌入的势头已明显放缓。综合来看,韩国股市目前的仓位状况已颇具吸引力,且具备估值偏低、盈利增长势头良好等优势。报告同时提示,近期股价暴跌仍可能在未来几天引发进一步的去杠杆压力。此外,考虑到美联储公开市场委员会会议存在加息风险,以及市场对超大规模科技公司即将公布的财报寄予厚望,许多投资者目前仍保持谨慎态度。在板块配置方面,摩根大通看好受益于“财富效应”的百货、化妆品、旅游、券商和建筑等板块。该行尤其看好韩国银行板块,认为其正受到三大利好因素支撑:一是居民收入增长改善资产质量;二是韩国央行加息周期有助于提升净息差;三是市场成交活跃也将带动相关业务收入增长。
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