欧洲央行称伊朗战争重创欧元区消费,信心下滑拖累经济增长

格隆汇
Aug 03
欧洲央行周一发布的一篇经济公报文章表示,在伊朗战争爆发后的最初几周,欧元区家庭消费大幅下降,主要原因是消费者信心急剧恶化。欧洲央行指出,这表明,如果冲突再次升级,消费者支出可能会再次受到打击。欧洲央行表示,今年4月欧元区消费降幅达到历史趋势预测水平的两倍,其影响规模与2022年初俄乌冲突爆发后家庭消费反应相当。数据显示,自2024年年中以来,欧元区名义消费增速平均维持在3%至4%左右。但今年4月,这一增速降至同比约2.5%。消费放缓主要由收入较高家庭减少非必需支出所推动。欧洲央行表示:“这进一步支持了一种观点,即消费放缓并不是由于收入受到限制,而是因为家庭在有能力调整消费时间安排的情况下,选择推迟购买。”

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