【加息交易降温 美元指数震荡】美元近期再度转弱。7月28日至30日，美元指数连续三个交易日下跌，累计跌逾1.5%，并失守100点关口。7月31日，美元指数小幅反弹，盘中重新站上100点关口，但仍明显低于本周美联储议息会议前水平。 美联储7月议息会议上，虽有三名委员投下反对票、主张加息，但美联储主席凯文·沃什并未释放近期加息的明确信号，市场对9月加息的押注随之降温。 机构人士认为，通胀与增长之间的拉锯仍将主导美元走势，能源价格、美联储政策以及全球避险需求则可能放大汇率波动。未来数月美元指数或主要在95点-102点区间运行，年底前总体呈现温和下行倾向。整体来看，美元仍有高利率和避险需求支撑，但随着政策紧缩预期降温，其进一步上行动力或有所减弱。
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