智通财经APP获悉，花旗发布研报称，小鹏集团-W(09868)将公布第二季业绩，预期集团第二季Non-GAAP净亏损约10亿元人民币，综合毛利率约20%，汽车毛利率约12.5%。该行维持其“买入”评级，H股目标价87.7港元。
花旗预期小鹏第三季总交付量约13万辆，低于市场预期的15万辆，主要因为7月交付量或略逊预期，加上L03生产爬坡需时，以及L03（毛利率逾10%)或蚕食M03（毛利率仅单位数)的销量。该行同时预期综合毛利率按季轻微下跌，因非汽车收入占比下降，抵销了车型组合改善的正面影响。
展望第四季，花旗看法较正面。毛利率约20%的GX将逐步改善组合，高阶车型G9L (月销5,000辆)将在第四季推出，毛利率亦逾20%。出口方面，第四季出口占比有望由第三季约10%提升至20%，出口月均量可由目前约2万辆增至4万辆，对盈利能见度有显著帮助。L05将于今年10月推出，预计2027财年开始出口。
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