金吾财讯 | 港股猪肉概念板块午后持续走高，截至发稿，牧原股份（02714）涨4.00%，德康农牧（02419）涨3.73%，中粮家佳康（01610）涨3.69%，万洲国际（00288）涨1.38%。消息面上，国家统计局新近公布的7月CPI数据表明，生猪产能综合调控政策效应显现，叠加部分地区高温、强降雨等极端天气频发推高运输成本等因素，猪肉价格由上月下降0.8%转为上涨4.1%。国金证券新近研究指，短期来看，生猪价格仍有下降空间，近期行业产能在政策调控和供给压力下已经有所减少，同时行业价格已经跌破完全成本线，预计整体亏损下行业产能去化，目前板块景气度底部企稳。中长期来看，生猪养殖行业依旧有较为优秀的中枢利润，且非洲猪瘟之后行业的快速扩张中，仍有大量企业是低质量扩充产能，行业成本方差依旧巨大，头部企业有充足的超额利润释放，建议优选低成本的优质企业。
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