金吾财讯 | 申洲国际（02313）股价受压下行，截至发稿，报42港元，跌3.18%，成交额1.55亿港元。消息面上，花旗发表研报指，申洲国际预测上半年盈利将同比跌38%至43%，估计当中有约9亿元下跌是来自人民币升值3%至4%的影响，其余主要来自厂房退休金成本上升及美伊冲突下油价飙升引发的原料成本上升，另外需求增长疲弱也带来轻微影响。该行预期，申洲国际今年订单仍可维持中单位数增长，重申“买入”评级，股价自2月底以来已累跌逾30%，主要受油价飙升及人民币加速升值的影响，相信相关影响已大致反映，2026至2028年盈利预测下调15%至17%，目标价由75港元下调至62港元。美银表示，申洲国际2026年上半年业绩低于市场预期的30%-35%的降幅，认为文件中列出的大部分负面因素已被市场消化，汇率波动是导致业绩不如预期的关键因素。该行将申洲国际目标价调低6%至50港元，重申“买入”的投资评级。
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