摩根大通依旧看好全球股市 认为周期股将领涨

格隆汇
Aug 10
摩根大通策略师仍看好全球股市,并预计下半年上涨行情将扩大;随着企业盈利和经济活动指标改善,周期股有望重新取得领先地位,跑赢低波动股票。Mislav Matejka带领的团队在报告中写道,预计指数将在下半年创新高,并表示仓位远未达到极端水平,且第二季度财报季令人安心。周期性板块中,他们重点关注银行、奢侈品、建筑材料、采矿、工业和周期性消费行业;青睐新兴市场和欧元区市场。科技和半导体板块在近期上涨势头消退后可能会趋于稳定,但不会引领市场反弹;也不太青睐能源、必需消费品、软件和媒体板块。通胀风险低于2022年,劳动力市场数据走软将减轻美联储面临的压力;美元走软将对股市,尤其是国际股市构成支撑。

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