新加坡上调2026年增长预测 但警告全球经济面临阻力

环球市场播报
Aug 11

  新加坡上调了2026年经济增长预测,原因在于上半年表现强于预期,不过有官员警告称,全球经济依然面临风险。贸易及工业部(MTI)周二公布的修正后数据显示,第二季度国内生产总值(GDP)同比增长5.9%。该部门7月份的初步预估为第二季度增长5.7%,第一季度增幅为6.3%。上半年GDP同比增长6.1%。该部门将其2026年增长预测从之前预计的2.0%-4.0%上调至4.5%-5.5%。2025年该国经济增长5.0%。贸易及工业部将此次上修归因于上半年表现强于预期,以及在全球人工智能相关资本支出加速的推动下,今年剩余时间的前景有所改善。不过,贸易及工业部警告称,风险包括中东冲突可能升温,这或将引发能源大宗商品价格和其他关键中间投入品价格再度飙升。该部门称:“由此导致的通胀压力上升和全球金融环境收紧,可能会抑制全球增长。”经季节性调整后,第二季度GDP环比增长1.4%,相比之下,初值为增长1.1%,第一季度修正后增幅为1.2%。

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