“新股神”:仍看多存储板块,市场焦点重新转向光子领域

链捕手
Aug 09

ChainCatcher 消息,“新股神”发文表示,其仍看多以美光(MU)和三星为代表的存储板块,并认为市场往往会在不同供应瓶颈之间轮动。本周,AXTI 至 LITE 等光子板块标的再次成为焦点;相较 7 月下跌期间,主要变化是股价,其后才是零散的叙事和业务更新。

他指出,市场在 7 月下跌时已经知道 COHR 和 LITE 的激光产品未来 2 年全部售罄,也已从 AAOI 上季度业绩电话会了解需求失衡。除清算后的股价变化外,光子板块基本面并未恶化;光收发器及磷化铟衬底瓶颈没有改变,甚至可能进一步加剧。

存储方面,“新股神”称散户正出现投降情绪,但此前同一批人在 MU 签署 16 份 SCA 并给出出色预测后极度看多。他认为,当前存储业务的营业利润与市值之比“极不合理”,且明年需求失衡或更严重;同一家公司改变的只是估值和叙事,市场则在不同板块间轮动。

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