ChainCatcher 消息,CryptoQuant 创始人 Ki Young Ju 在 X 平台发文,针对此前 CME 比特币期货持仓分析进行修正,表示此前将“Total Reportables(大型机构交易者)”误标为“Leveraged Funds(杠杆基金)”,导致认为 CME 对冲基金罕见转为 BTC 期货净多头,但实际情况是杠杆基金仍维持 BTC 期货净空头仓位。
Ki Young Ju 给出 CFTC 截至 8 月 4 日的期货持仓数据:1、大型机构交易者整体呈小幅净多头状态,该类别包括资产管理机构、做市商、交易商等。Ki Young Ju 表示,虽然净多幅度有限,但此前关于机构方向偏多的判断仍然成立。2、杠杆基金仍维持 BTC 期货净空头仓位,但过去一年其标准 BTC 期货净空头规模已减少约 50%(以 BTC 计),主要原因是基差交易收益下降,当期货基差收益低于美国国债收益率后,套利空间收窄。杠杆基金目前在 Micro BTC 期货上呈净多头,但规模较小,仅约 +394 BTC,相当于标准 BTC 期货净空头规模的约 1%。Ki Young Ju 表示,杠杆基金整体尚未转为净多头,但其长期结构性空头正在明显减弱,这可能反映出套利交易平仓以及方向性仓位调整。
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