中信证券研报称,美国7月CPI全面符合预期,核心通胀延续温和表现,二次通胀效应微弱,这有助于进一步缓解市场对通胀风险的担忧。我们仍认为美国通胀粘性不强,预计美国总体CPI同比在三季度内将大致延续温和放缓趋势并于9月触底,此后在今年四季度稍有反弹并于明年3月快速下行。我们仍预计美联储今年全年按兵不动,衍生品市场定价的加息预期还有进一步下修的空间。
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