【厄尔尼诺致糖期货大涨价】近期，强厄尔尼诺事件发生概率持续增大，暴雨、干旱等极端天气，在全球多地肆虐。多个食糖生产国和出口国的甘蔗种植产业受到冲击。随着市场对主要甘蔗产区产量将下降的担忧升温，全球糖期货价格日前也升至年内高点。美国国家海洋和大气管理局发布报告显示，今年10月至12月出现强厄尔尼诺事件的概率为81%，其强度可能跻身1950年以来最强厄尔尼诺事件之列。荷兰合作银行发布的最新报告显示，厄尔尼诺事件还会造成印度及东南亚地区降雨量低于常年水平，放大糖产量的下行风险，进而导致全球供应预期收紧。印度已禁止食糖出口直至9月底。足够大的减产冲击可能迫使印度转向进口。最近一个月，纽约原糖期货和伦敦白糖期货主力合约价格分别累计上涨约12%和8.8%。同期，国内白糖期货价格虽然跟随外盘上涨，但涨幅有限。
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