金吾财讯 | 中信证券测算，2026年7月末银行理财规模增长至35.2-35.4万亿元区间内，较6月末的33.66万亿元增长1.6-1.7万亿元，涨幅低于去年同期水平，但基本符合历年季节性规律。银行理财的“类存款”定位及相对收益优势仍然是理财行业负债扩张的重要支撑。从产品结构看，7月理财规模的大幅扩张主要由固收类产品拉动，含权理财规模的增速有所放缓。展望8月，理财规模或延续小幅增长，存款搬家逻辑延续，但短期或存在阶段性扰动。展望全年，该机构预计2026年全年银行理财规模有望达到35-36万亿元。
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