【券商聚焦】国泰海通:预计未来数年内我国新能源车险保费规模增长空间充分

金吾财讯
Aug 13

金吾财讯 | 国泰海通证券研究指,当前我国新能源车险保费规模处于快速增长阶段,虽整体行业面临亏损,但综合成本率已呈现持续改善态势,预计未来数年内保费规模增长空间充分,盈利水平有望进一步改善。具体而言,该机构提到,我国新能源车险保费规模持续走高,但行业面临持续性亏损。国内新能源汽车保有量持续走高,带动新能源车险市场规模快速扩容,2025年行业保费规模达1900亿元,同比增长34.8%。当前,新能源车险依托专属条款,针对三电系统、充电场景增设保障责任,形成区别于传统燃油车险的风险保障体系。但新能源车存在出险率偏高、三电系统维修成本高昂等问题,叠加保险公司保费定价未能充分覆盖风险成本,行业呈现持续亏损。该机构表示,新能源车险保费增长空间充分,内外部多重利好有望推动行业盈利进一步改善。预计2026至2030年我国新能源车险保费复合增速可达14.1%,市场规模增量充分。同时,随着智能驾驶技术普及、维修市场规范化、险企定价机制不断完善,预计行业出险率和赔付压力将逐步缓解,盈利有望进一步改善。

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