人工智能盛宴正酣 华尔街紧盯利率风险搅局

智通财经
Aug 17
【人工智能盛宴正酣 华尔街紧盯利率风险搅局】投资者对大型科技公司及其在人工智能领域的巨额投资热情高涨,再次推动股市创下历史新高。在经济韧性十足、需求旺盛的大背景下,这波上涨行情似乎只有一个拦路虎:利率上行。科技公司历来对美债收益率十分敏感,因为其高市值是基于增长预期,寄希望于总有一天会实现更高利润。人工智能相关的资本支出尤其如此,因为这些支出预计需要数年时间才能完全实现回报。在这个着眼未来的等式中,利率决定了华尔街衡量未来利润折算成当前价值的水平。从本质上看,若通胀走高推动利率上升,这些未来收益的现值就会下降,从而带来股票抛售压力。“估值倍数较高的股票通常会在利率上升时遭遇抛售,”Domini Impact Investments的金融研究主管Maria Llerena表示。

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