美联储会议纪要:通胀预测与6月预测相似,但经济展望略显疲软

格隆汇
Aug 20
美联储会议纪要提到,美联储工作人员预计今年下半年总体通胀将有所回落,主要因为零售汽油价格预计将下降,同时核心通胀预计将小幅放缓。预计明年实际GDP增速将略高于潜在增速,金融环境和AI相关投资将为经济提供支撑。预计今年失业率将维持在接近美联储工作人员估算的长期均衡水平,明年则小幅下降,并在2028年降至略低于长期均衡水平。相比6月会议时的预测,美联储工作人员此次对经济活动的展望略显疲弱,主要是因为近期公布的数据表现不及此前预期。美联储工作人员仍认为,其经济预测面临的不确定性较大,原因在于当前地缘政治局势仍存在不确定性,同时AI投资和应用可能产生的经济影响也尚不明确。总体而言,就业和实际GDP增速的预测风险偏向下行。而通胀预测的风险则偏向上行,其中一个风险是通胀可能比美联储工作人员预期的更加顽固、持续时间更长。

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10