Fundstrat:比特币波动率创历史低位,未来 60 天或现 30% 大幅波动

链捕手
Aug 18

ChainCatcher 消息,据 BeInCrypto 报道,Fundstrat Global Advisors 数字资产策略主管 Sean Farrell 发布研报指出,比特币当前 30 天价格波动率已降至历史极低水平。回顾过去 8 次类似低波动周期,后续 60 天内比特币价格中位数绝对涨跌幅均达约 30.2%,其中 4 次上涨、4 次下跌。

以当前约 64,000 美元价格为基准,若出现 30% 上行波动,目标价约为 83,200 美元;若下行,则约为 44,800 美元。Farrell 同时指出,本周一比特币约 2% 的反弹主要由空头回补驱动,未来方向仍不明朗,而实际债券收益率持续攀升是当前最大下行风险。

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