8月18日，国内商品期货午盘收盘，主力合约涨多跌少，SC原油涨近6%，燃料油涨超5%，LPG涨近5%，乙二醇涨超4%，低硫燃料油、合成橡胶、纯苯涨超3%，跌幅方面，多晶硅跌超4%，鸡蛋、沪锡、国际铜跌超1%，沪铜、红枣跌近1%。
史上最强厄尔尼诺来了？
2026年8月18日，国家气候中心发文表示，今年夏季以来我国气候特征显现厄尔尼诺现象正快速发展，有望成为有观测记录以来最强的一次。
厄尔尼诺是赤道中东太平洋海水持续异常增暖的气候现象，和拉尼娜现象互为相反状态，平均每2至7年发生一次，单次事件通常持续9到12个月。它会扰乱全球大气环流，导致不同区域出现反常天气，对全球农业、生态和民生都有显著影响。
中东局势再度升温
光大期货研报指出，当前地缘局势的僵持将使得原油地缘计价再度抬升。从现货维度来看，中东石油向亚洲市场交付的现货保持高升水格局，这意味着霍尔木兹海峡的持续断航预期下，买家心态也有所变化。SC主力合约价格重回600元/桶附近，油价整体呈现震荡偏强格局。
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