【史上最强厄尔尼诺正在形成中 我国将受到哪些影响】国家气候中心首席预报员顾薇表示,8月上半月的海温指数已突破2.5℃,但按照国家相关标准计算,目前的滑动平均值尚未达到超强事件的门槛,当下尚未正式形成超强厄尔尼诺事件。国家气候中心预计,赤道中东太平洋海表温度将继续维持波动上升态势,今年11月至12月前后达到本次事件的峰值。当前增暖趋势明显,3个月滑动平均的峰值大概率将超过2.5℃这一关口,形成一次超强厄尔尼诺事件,并成为有观测记录以来最强的一次。国家气候中心监测显示,夏季以来,我国气候特征反映出厄尔尼诺发展阶段的典型影响:东部呈南北两条多雨带,暴雨过程面广点强、落区重叠且致灾复合;台风活跃、强度强,风雨影响久。
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