金吾财讯 | 国泰海通证券研究指，铜价在2026年经历震荡后于近期升至年内新高。其定价逻辑由商品属性主导，同时受宏观流动性与战略溢价双重影响。本轮上涨的根本驱动力供给端多重扰动、显性库存持续去化以及美国关税预期引发的全球资源流向重构共同作用的结果。铜正从传统工业金属向战略资源品转变，AI、新能源等结构性需求与各国战略囤货行为进一步抬升其溢价中枢。在供给刚性约束下，铜价中长期上行逻辑较为稳固，但短期节奏仍将受到矿山复产进度、关税政策落地时点及宏观环境变化等因素的显著扰动。
金吾财讯 | 国泰海通证券研究指，铜价在2026年经历震荡后于近期升至年内新高。其定价逻辑由商品属性主导，同时受宏观流动性与战略溢价双重影响。本轮上涨的根本驱动力供给端多重扰动、显性库存持续去化以及美国关税预期引发的全球资源流向重构共同作用的结果。铜正从传统工业金属向战略资源品转变，AI、新能源等结构性需求与各国战略囤货行为进一步抬升其溢价中枢。在供给刚性约束下，铜价中长期上行逻辑较为稳固，但短期节奏仍将受到矿山复产进度、关税政策落地时点及宏观环境变化等因素的显著扰动。
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