CAE's Fiscal Q1 Results Build Confidence in Transformation Plan, RBC Says

MT Newswires Live
Aug 17

CAE's (CAE) fiscal Q1 results increased "confidence" in the company's "transformation plan," with all eight workstreams on track, "order momentum accelerating" and free cash flow improving, RBC Capital Markets said in a report Monday.

"Customer attrition" tied to network rationalization is running below 1% of Civil revenue, which the firm called the quarter's "most important de-risking data point." Civil utilization improved to 72.2% from 68.8%, while "order intake" rose 64% year over year, the report said.

The firm said near-term Civil margin weakness appears "transitory" and sees a path to margin recovery as "transformation savings" begin to flow through. Defense is also becoming a larger growth driver, supported by a CA$10.7 billion ($7.72 billion) backlog and an additional pipeline of more than CA$5 billion.

RBC raised its fiscal 2027 earnings per share estimate to CA$1.27 from CA$1.21 and its fiscal 2030 estimate to CA$2.16 from CA$2.12, according to the report.

The firm upgraded CAE to outperform from sector perform and raised its price target to CA$46 from CA$36.

Price: 27.22, Change: +1.04, Percent Change: +3.97

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