金吾财讯 | A股三大指数探底回升，沪指成功翻红。截至收盘，沪指涨0.19%，深成指跌0.56%，创业板指跌0.92%。沪深两市总成交额2.4万亿元，较上一日放量133.17亿元。盘面上看，个股跌多涨少，逾3200只股份录得下跌。板块方面，农业股强势，石油天然气、教育、海运板块跟涨；至于互联网、文化传媒、券商、通信设备等板块跌幅居前。山西证券表示，本周市场验证上周风格再均衡判断，资金从科技独大向科技+价值+消费扩散。宏观层面，M2-社融裂口收窄至0.3%，资金脱实向虚力度减弱；7月CPI同比仅0.5%，内需偏弱；新增信贷转负或构成下周最大不确定性。下周大概率延续风格再平衡态势，科技从单边上涨转为震荡整理，银行、消费从底部继续修复，价值与成长的差距收窄。配置上建议优先把握资金流入明确、产业趋势向上的通信和医药生物，辅以食品饮料的超跌机会，同时控制周期及高估值板块的仓位：（1）超配通信、医药生物、食品饮料等；（2）标配电子、银行、公用事业、机械设备等；（3）低配或回避有色金属、非银金融、国防军工，以及基础化工、钢铁、房地产、石油石化等受基本面下行拖累的板块。金吾财讯 |
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