【市场博弈加剧 金价长短周期走势或分化】8月以来,国际金价摆脱前期区间震荡格局,开启一轮强势反弹行情。伦敦现货黄金价格自4100美元/盎司下方稳步攀升,接连突破多个关键整数关口,并一度站上4600美元/盎司,创下今年5月15日以来新高,截至记者发稿时,8月以来累计涨幅超13%。业内人士表示,本轮金价大涨是美联储加息预期降温、中东地缘局势变化、美债政策调整等多重利好因素共振的结果,短期上涨动能充足。中期来看,金价或受地缘冲突演变、美联储货币政策预期变化影响而反复波动。长期来看,全球地缘风险频发、美元信用持续受质疑、美国债务结构性难题难以化解,黄金对美元的替代效应持续增强,将为金价上行提供充足动能。
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