ChainCatcher 消息，CoinDesk 分析师 James Van Straten 发文表示，比特币通常会在 “黄金交叉” (Golden Cross) 形成前数周出现上涨行情。目前，比特币 50 日移动平均线 (50DMA) 和 200 日移动平均线 (200DMA) 均已转为向上倾斜，市场正在接近黄金交叉形态。2022 年比特币价格从未突破 200 日均线，而当前市场正在形成新的结构。他表示：“这似乎是一个新的市场阶段。”
黄金交叉通常被市场视为中长期趋势转强的技术信号，指短期均线 (50 日均线) 上穿长期均线 (200 日均线)。不过，该指标属于滞后指标，主要用于确认趋势变化，而非预测短期价格走势。Glassnode 数据显示，比特币历史上多次在 50 日均线向上穿越 200 日均线前出现价格上涨。当前 BTC 价格已重新站上 200 日均线附近区域，与 2022 年市场周期存在明显差异。
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