数据:Polymarket“BTC 八月剩余时段触及 8 万美元”概率降至 43%,24 小时下跌 19%

链捕手
Yesterday

ChainCatcher 消息,PPP 预测市场工具监测显示,Polymarket 上“BTC 将在八月剩余时段触及 8 万美元”概率降至 43%,24 小时下跌 19%。此外,上涨触及 8.5 万美元概率降至 12%,24 小时下跌 7%。

根据结算规则,该市场以币安 BTC/USDT 交易对为准。在标题指定月份内(美东时间当月 1 日 00:00 至最后一天 23:59),若任意 1 分钟 K 线最高价等于或高于标题指定价格,则立即结算为 Yes,否则为 No。该市场仅以币安 BTC/USDT 的 1 分钟 K 线 High 价格为准,其他交易所、交易对、或现货市场的价格均不计入。

市场行情方面,比特币周五一度逼近 8 万美元,最高触及约 7.95 万美元,随后于周末回落,最新短时跌破 7.6 万美元,目前已回升至 7.6 万美元附近。

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