金吾财讯 | 根据外媒8月24日披露官方统计，新加坡7月CPI同比上涨2.0%，剔除私人道路交通与住宿成本后的核心通胀水平，低于路透民调2.2%的预期中位数；7月总体通胀录得2.2%，同样低于市场2.3%的一致预测。新加坡央行此前预判通胀自7月起开启回升，且将在明年上半年维持高位。受中东地缘冲突带来能源价格扰动，新加坡央行已于7月底意外收紧货币政策，对冲输入性通胀带来的上行风险，本次7月通胀读数虽不及预期，但尚未改变通胀中期上行的判断。经济层面，新加坡贸易部本月上调全年GDP增长指引，全年经济增速预期上调至4.5%-5.5%，二季度该国GDP同比增速达到5.9%，实体经济展现较强韧性。通胀读数暂时缓和叠加经济高景气，市场将持续观察后续物价走势，若能源成本再度抬升，仍有可能推动通胀反弹，货币政策后续也将随之动态调整。
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