缺乏明确指引,美国长期国债面临进一步抛售风险

格隆汇
7 hours ago
本周,债券投资者将密切关注美联储主席沃什在杰克逊霍尔的讲话。市场正寻求这位他对持续通胀和财政问题的应对措施,长期国债或将面临进一步抛售的风险。沃什自5月上任以来一直很少提供前瞻性政策指引。他在上一次货币政策会议后的讲话曾引发债券市场大规模抛售,凸显市场对其周五讲话的高度敏感性。道明证券美国利率策略师Molly Brooks表示:“我认为,如果他还是一如既往地不提供更多信息,市场会感到失望,这可能进一步加剧近期长期国债遭遇的抛售。”全美互惠保险公司首席经济学家Kathy Bostjancic表示,持续拖累债券市场的因素依然存在,包括财政担忧、通胀以及市场对美联储应对措施的不确定性。汇丰银行利率策略师Dhiraj Narula表示,这为沃什提供了一个机会,让他通过阐明其政策前景来安抚投资者。他说:“在我们看来,如果沃什主席能够对潜在通胀压力作出一些判断,就可能足以降低与不确定性相关的期限溢价。”

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