【美债回购难解深层隐忧 美元看跌期权需求升温】美国财政部此前宣布将长期债券回购操作上限翻倍至40亿美元后，债市一度大幅反弹，长端收益率显著走低，但这一乐观情绪未能持续。分析人士表示，回购难以化解推高收益率的根源问题，包括不可持续的财政赤字及通胀预期升温。而若财政部对债市动荡存在实质性担忧，更激进的干预预期将限制美元的上行空间。虽然从利率逻辑出发美元存在上行理由，但当前政策组合整体对美元并不友好，若财政部对债市动荡存在实质性担忧，更激进的干预预期将限制美元的上行空间。花旗集团对美元的短期观点已转为看空，此前该机构曾就美债回购相关风险发出提示。花旗策略师Daniel Tobon及其团队将未来三个月的美元指数预期从此前的102.12下调到98.34。美国财政部的回购政策将通过压低长端收益率以及引发市场担忧，给美元带来新的下行压力。在主要非美货币方面，花旗上调了欧元的短期预期，将未来三个月欧元兑美元汇率预期上调至1.1750。
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