金吾财讯 | 比特币（BTC-USD）近期走出震荡反弹行情，相对强弱指数RSI上行至78，已经进入超买区间，本周早些时候比特币盘中曾下破64000美元，之后开启持续修复。RSI用来衡量短期价格涨跌速度与波动幅度，70以上代表超买，周四该指标自高点回落约10点，价格仍在上行，但动量指标已经出现降温迹象。经历周五大幅震荡之后，比特币最新上涨1.79%，报79110美元。本轮反弹由空头集中回补驱动，叠加市场对美国加密监管政策改善的乐观预期，带动整个加密资产板块回暖。资金流量指数MFI读数约70，该指标结合价格与成交量综合研判多空力量，MFI高于80属于超买，低于20对应超卖，当前尚未触及极端超买阈值。市场情绪得到政策层面催化，白宫联合加密行业代表，计划在接下来数周推进CLARITYAct法案落地，监管框架的推进预期改善市场风险偏好，助推数字资产整体估值抬升。短期来看RSI超买意味着价格回调风险有所加大，后续行情一方面要看空头回补动能是否延续，另一方面法案推进进度、美国监管态度变化，都会持续左右加密资产的价格波动。
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