机构:经济韧性抵消战争冲击 欧洲市场正重获青睐

格隆汇
Aug 21
欧洲市场正重新受到青睐,因为欧洲经济比预期更好地经受住了伊朗战争的冲击,货币政策前景比其他地区更加明朗,而且受人工智能驱动的市场波动影响较小。欧洲斯托克600指数正接近历史高位,欧元汇率也处于三个月高点,这与3月的情况形成了鲜明对比。LSEG/理柏数据显示,截至8月12日当周,欧洲股市资金流入24.4亿美元,这是截至2月25日当周(即美伊战争爆发前夕)以来最大规模流入。由于AI投资敞口有限,欧洲在很大程度上避免了全球科技股剧烈波动的影响。此外,尽管伊朗战争引发的通胀压力预示着欧元区可能进一步加息,但与美联储和日本央行相比,欧洲央行更有力的政策指引也让投资者感到安心,同时欧洲经济也保持了良好的态势。摩根士丹利首席欧洲股票策略师Marina Zavolock表示:“只要通胀不至于引发经济衰退,通胀对股市就是有利的。我们现在就处于这种环境。这就是欧洲股市、尤其是银行股逐步上涨的原因。”

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