日本通胀加速,为日本央行加息提供依据

环球市场播报
Aug 21

  日本核心物价指标连续第二个月加速上行,日本央行有望在短期内再度加息,市场愈发猜测央行最早将于9月采取加息行动。

  日本总务省周五公布,7月剔除生鲜食品的消费者物价指数同比上涨1.8%,高于上月1.6%的涨幅,该数据与经济学家预期中值一致。

  同时剔除生鲜食品与能源的物价指数是日本央行密切关注的核心通胀指标,同比上涨1.9%;整体CPI同样同比上涨1.9%。

  此次通胀抬升部分受能源推动,能源价格同比上涨0.6%,扭转了6月小幅下滑的态势。

  数周前日本央行行长植田和男释放信号,称政策当局或将加快政策正常化步伐,本次通胀数据为央行加息提供支撑。尽管美日两国7月底罕见实施联合汇市干预,但日元持续走弱仍带来物价上行风险,市场投资者愈发确信日本央行将于下月启动加息。

  日本央行此前表示,预计本财年下半年剔除生鲜食品的CPI将“显著高于”2%。三井住友日兴证券经济学家预测,该指标将在今年第四季度触及2.8%。

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