【瑞银:黄金下半年涨势尚未结束】瑞银财富管理投资总监办公室最新观点称,随着投资者重新评估美国货币政策及美元前景,金价打破近期的整理局面,再度走高,需求端因素亦为金价增添助力。有三项条件将有助黄金延续涨势:美元继续走弱,市场对美国实际利率的预期下降,黄金的投资需求进一步增强。瑞银维持今年年底金价目标在4600美元/盎司,并新推出2027年9月底目标价5400美元/盎司,较2027年6月底目标高出200美元。“我们认为通胀放缓将成为明年市场关注的主线。在有利的基数效应及其他因素助力下,通胀压力有望减轻,从而将利好黄金等先前受加息预期制约的资产。”瑞银还预计,美国经济活动将处于或低于趋势水平,届时美元可能承压,并进一步支撑黄金需求。
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