全球货币政策风向标来了 市场认为:美联储年底加息概率超70%

智通财经
Aug 28
【全球货币政策风向标来了 市场认为:美联储年底加息概率超70%】2026年杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会于当地时间8月27日至29日在美国怀俄明州举行。作为全球央行领域的“年度盛会”,它向来被投资者视为“全球货币政策风向标”。本届年会的主题是“金融创新:对支付与政策的影响”。而今年最大的看点,无疑是美联储新任主席凯文·沃什的首次亮相。市场高度关注他对于通胀目标、利率路径,以及财政与货币政策边界的表态。不过,沃什自就任后便宣布放弃传统的前瞻性指引,主张投资者应更多通过审视市场信号来研判政策走向。当前美国债市的变化,让不少分析人士预测:沃什可能将不得不改变“表态模糊”的风格。当前,芝商所“美联储观察工具”的数据显示,市场认为美联储到今年底加息概率已超过70%。有经济学家指出,当前通胀治理的复杂性已远超以往,这也让今年的杰克逊霍尔比往年更受关注。

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10