金吾财讯 | 据外媒知情人士消息，委内瑞拉正在评估退出欧佩克（OPEC）的可能性，该国是1960年欧佩克成立时的创始成员国，目前尚未作出最终决定。有信息显示，随着美方计划同加拉加斯深化能源领域合作，委内瑞拉已经就退出欧佩克一事与美国相关官员开展沟通。一旦委内瑞拉落实退出行动，将会削弱欧佩克整体话语权，扰动全球石油供给格局与油价运行逻辑。委内瑞拉拥有规模可观的原油储量，此前长期在欧佩克框架之下参与减产协调。若脱离组织，该国可以不受欧佩克产量配额约束，自主调节原油出口规模。市场层面会持续跟踪后续谈判进展。如果委内瑞拉转向对接美国能源体系，一方面可能增加全球原油供给弹性，另一方面也会改变欧佩克内部力量平衡，对国际油价、产油国博弈格局带来连锁反应。最终结果仍取决于多方外交博弈，相关消息具备较强的油价驱动属性。
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