【券商聚焦】国泰海通:核心电源供给边际收缩,电价有望重新进入上行周期

金吾财讯
Aug 28

金吾财讯 | 国泰海通证券研究指出,新型电力系统构建过程中,“安全保供”及“低碳转型”成为政策优先目标。核心电源供给边际收缩,电价有望重新进入上行周期。电力产业链的盈利再分配,调节性资产有望获得持续超额收益。该机构认为,1)火电:供给边际收缩,电价有望重新进入上行周期;从基荷电源转向调节性支撑性电源的定调下,电价改革传导叠加容量电价提升,周期性弱化有望驱动估值重构。2)水电:受益于电价上行,具备区位优势的大水电强者恒强。3)核电:回归稳定属性,关注增长持续性。4)风光:风电优于光伏,多能互补优于单一电源;静待困境反转。

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