【加息预期下 日本央行物价指标企稳于目标水平之上】一项日本央行衡量潜在通胀率的指标仍高于央行2%的目标，支持了9月加息的普遍预期。日本央行周二表示，该消费者价格指数7月同比上涨2.3%。相比之下，上周公布的政府核心通胀率仅增长1.8%。这些数据是行长植田和男3月推出的新价格指标之一，旨在更细致地反映核心通胀趋势。这些指标剔除了包括政府汽油和公用事业补贴影响在内的特殊因素，这些因素往往会扭曲整体CPI数据。这一读数进一步印证了潜在通胀压力依然强劲的迹象，因为企业正因中东冲突导致能源价格上涨而将更高的投入成本转嫁给客户。这也佐证了日本央行关于需要对通胀上行风险保持高度警惕的说法。交易员预计，当日本央行于9月18日公布下一次政策决定时，加息概率约为80%。
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