【中金财富期货:美债波动是这轮黄金上行的主要原因】美债波动是这轮黄金上行的主要原因,客观的讲,虽然美债突破40万亿美元,传统意义上的美国主权债务违约概率极低,但美国也不可能无限举债。因此市场对美债的担忧,正从信用风险转向财政可持续风险和通胀风险。换言之,美债面临的问题不再是“还不起钱”,而是投资者逐渐将其从“无风险资产”重新定价为需要更高风险溢价的资产。这仍利好黄金等美元替代资产,建议多单继续持有。
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