中金:若沃什能够展现足够的政策灵活性,市场对美债的担忧有望部分缓解

智通财经
5 hours ago
【中金:若沃什能够展现足够的政策灵活性,市场对美债的担忧有望部分缓解】中金公司发布研报称,本周市场的焦点是杰克逊霍尔会议及沃什讲话。此前沃什“让市场替美联储加息”表态未能缓解通胀担忧,叠加财政部干预失效,政策公信力受损,美债收益率持续走高。中金预计沃什这次会重申通胀风险、保留加息选项以重建信誉,但他也将继续坚持减少央行干预、降低沟通频率等长期主张。认为沃什并未放弃“缩表+降息”的政策理念,但其赖以成立的前提与当下的现实情况存在错位,需要加以协调与更清晰的表达。若沃什能够展现足够的政策灵活性,市场对美债的担忧有望部分缓解,美元受到支撑;反之则信任持续流失,长端美债收益率继续上行,美元承压。

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