【券商聚焦】交银国际维持康龙化成(03759)买入评级 指三大板块新业务机会齐发力

金吾财讯
13 hours ago

金吾财讯 | 交银国际研报指,康龙化成(03759)1H26收入、订单高增长,全年指引上调:1H26收入和经调整净利润分别增长18%/20%。来自全球TOP20药企的收入同比+32%;中国大陆客户收入+42%。1H26公司新签订单金额同比增超30%,2Q继续保持高增速,为2H26业绩能见度提供支撑。分板块看:1)实验室服务收入+14%,新签订单金额增超20%,生物科学收入贡献超60%;但毛利率受汇率影响小幅下滑至40.7%。2)CDMO收入+33%,药物发现服务客户贡献85%以上;新签订单金额大增50%以上,小分子项目管线持续向后期推进;多肽固相合成、ADC DS/DP产能均在布局中,ADC后期产能有望明年投产;毛利率同比改善至 25.6%。3)临床服务收入+14%,新签订单金额增长超30%;订单价格亦有回暖趋势,2Q毛利率环比+5.0ppt,管理层预计逐季改善趋势将在年内持续。管理层将全年收入增速指引从12-18%上调至15-20%。该机构下调2026年盈利预测,以反映人民币升值带来的潜在损失,但上调2028年预测以反映该机构对于CDMO业务更乐观的预期。该机构继续基于退出估值折现法和21倍目标退出市盈率倍数对公司估值,并将模型向前滚动一年,得到最新目标价46.6港元/64.1元人民币(300759 CH/买入),其中港股目标价对应28.8倍/0.9倍2027年市盈率/PEG,估值吸引,维持买入及CXO板块重点推荐。

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