【德国多家机构上调2026年经济增长预期】德国多家主要经济研究机构3日发布秋季预测，上调2026年德国经济增长预期，并认为出口回暖和政府支出增加正推动经济逐步复苏。德国慕尼黑经济研究所预计，今年德国国内生产总值将增长1.4%，高于夏季预测的0.8%；同时将2027年经济增长预期由此前0.8%上调至1.2%。该机构认为，中东战事导致能源价格大幅上涨，加之内河水位偏低，拖累了德国经济；但海外工业需求增加以及政府扩大基础设施、国防等领域支出，在一定程度上抵消了这些负面影响。德国基尔世界经济研究所和莱布尼茨经济研究所分别预计，今年德国经济将增长1.3%，较此前预期上调0.5个百分点。这两家机构均指出，此次上调主要受外贸推动，上半年德国出口增长超预期。
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