经济学家预计欧洲央行下周将完成最后一次加息,与市场观点出现分歧

智通财经
Sep 04
【经济学家预计欧洲央行下周将完成最后一次加息,与市场观点出现分歧】经济学家认为欧洲央行将于下周加息,但之后不会再进一步加息,这一结果远比当前市场押注的预期更为鸽派。彭博调查的绝大多数受访者预计,存款利率将于下周四上调25个基点至2.5%,并在2027年之前维持该水平。而交易员则定价,预计到明年年中还会有三次左右加息。这一分歧凸显出欧洲央行在校准货币政策时面临的难题:中东战火再起再度冲击能源市场。油价正逼近每桶100美元,天然气价格飙升至2023年以来的高位。尽管高通胀尚未显现出固化的迹象,但各类风险依旧层出不穷。

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