新西兰央行助理行长Karen Silk表示,该行更可能等到12月再度加息。
新西兰央行本周连续第二次上调政策利率。行长安娜·布雷曼表示,未来可能还会进一步加息,但决策者希望留出时间评估迄今为止加息的影响。政策声明的基调促使投资者降低对该央行10月加息的押注,同时大举押注12月加息。
Silk周五在惠灵顿接受采访时表示:“我们的表态相当明确,我们认为利率很可能仍需进一步上调,取决于经济前景。究竟是10月还是12月仍未确定,但从利率路径来看,后者的可能性更高。”
互换市场定价显示,投资者预计新西兰央行10月加息25个基点至3%的概率约为31%,相比之下,市场已完全笃定利率最迟到12月份会升至3%。
Silk重申,新西兰央行没有预设的政策路径。她表示:“我们必须灵活思考,并愿意在必要时调整。如果数据开始传递不同信号,或者情况发生变化,我们就需要作出相应调整。”
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